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Forecast Pro XE
Only 55,000 Bht

Forecasting Software :
Quickly and accurately forecast sales, costs and virtually anything else using the best-selling and highest-rated forecasting software available.

Please call 02-5139892 ext.151

ซอฟต์แวร์เพื่่อการพยากรณ์ Forecast Pro (Forecasting Software)

โลกที่ดีกว่าการทำพยากรณ์ด้วย Excel
Excel อยู่บนคอมพิวเตอร์ของคุณใช่ไหม??? คงไม่แปลกที่สุดยอดโปรแกรม อย่าง Excel จะใช้กันอย่างแพร่หลาย แต่ก็ใช่ว่า Excel จะเก่งไปซะทุกเรื่อง อย่างเช่น เรื่องของการพยากรณ์ เพราะ Excel ไม่ได้ถูกออกแบบมาเพื่อการพยากรณ์โดยเฉพาะ ดังนั้นการพยากรณ์บน Excel ส่วนใหญ่ จะเขียนสูตรอย่างง่ายขึ้นมาเอง แล้วนำมารวมกันเป็นตารางคำนวณ (Spreadsheet) ขนาดใหญ่ และก็เป็นไปได้ยากที่จะเขียนได้อย่างสมบูรณ์ แถมยังมีโอกาสเกิดความผิดพลาดโดยไม่เจตนาของผู้สร้างเอง
Forecast Pro คือทางเลือกที่ดีกว่าที่ช่วยคุณพยากรณ์ได้อย่างแม่นยำขึ้นเพราะเป็นโปรแกรมที่สร้างและพัฒนามาโดยเฉพาะ สำหรับหาค่าการพยากรณ์ทางธุรกิจ ซึ่งจะช่วยคุณปรับปรุงการพยากรณ์อย่างเห็นได้ชัดและทำให้กระบวนการพยากรณ์ของคุณ มีระเบียบแบบแผน คุณสามารถใช้งานโปรแกรม Forecast Pro ได้โดยไม่ต้องปรับเปลี่ยนโปรแกรมและได้รับการพิสูจน์แล้วว่า ค่าการพยากรณ์ของคุณนั้นถูกต้องแม่นยำมากขึ้น...แน่นอน

วิธีที่ดีที่สุดในการหาค่าพยากรณ์ด้วย Forecast Pro
คุณสามารถสร้างค่าพยากรณ์ที่แม่นยำได้อย่างรวดเร็วและง่ายดายโดยใช้วิธีทางสถิติที่ได้รับการพิสูจน์แล้ว จากผลการวิจัยแสดงให้เห็นว่าไม่มีการพยากรณ์วิธีใดวิธีหนึ่งที่จะใช้งานได้ดีที่สุดสำหรับทุกๆ ข้อมูล นั่นทำให้ Forecast Pro มีวิธีการพยากรณ์หลายรูปแบบครอบคลุมกับความต้องการของทุกธุรกิจ วิธีพยากรณ์ของ Forecast Pro จะครอบคลุมถึง อุปสงค์ของผลิตภัณฑ์ตามฤดูกาล การพยากรณ์สินค้าที่มีโครงสร้างเป็นลำดับชั้น การทำโปรโมชั่น การพยากรณ์สินค้าที่มีการเคลื่อนไหวช้า และความสามารถอื่นๆ อีกมากมาย

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Forecast Pro is easy to learn and easy to use. In fact, using Forecast Pro’s Expert Selection mode, you can create accurate forecasts in minutes—even if you don’t have a background in forecasting or statistics! Powerful enough to take on all of your forecasting challenges, Forecast Pro provides a complete range of forecasting models and all the diagnostic tools you need. With Forecast Pro, you can do it all—generate accurate forecasts quickly, make adjustments based on your business knowledge, collaborate with colleagues, create dazzling presentations, work
with your existing data and interface directly with other systems. Forecast Pro will save you time and money while improving your planning and decision making.

Worlds better than Excel for Forecasting

Worlds Better Than Excel for Forecasting
It is very likely that you have Excel on your computer—it‘s a great product, but it’s not designed for forecasting. Spreadsheet forecasting almost always relies on simple, ad-hoc formulas built into large, unwieldy, complex spreadsheets. This creates a forecasting process that is prone to unintentional human error and is difficult—if not impossible—to maintain as the business and its forecasting staff changes. By moving up to Forecast
Pro—a product specially developed for business forecasting— you get an affordable, off-the-shelf solution which can
dramatically improve your forecasting and formalize your forecasting process.

Which Edition of Forecast Pro is Right for You?

To satisfy different needs, three editions of Forecast Pro are available—Basic, XE and Unlimited. Which edition is right for you depends on a number of factors including how many items you need to forecast, which forecasting techniques you need to use, how you manage forecast adjustments and overrides, and whether or not you need to work with others to establish the fi nal forecast. Forecast Pro Basic is designed for those with very modest forecasting needs. It utilizes time series approaches (techniques that create forecasts based strictly upon the past history) and allows you to forecast up to 10 items (such as products or SKUs) at a time.

Forecast Pro XE is a desktop analysis tool
designed to satisfy both basic and advanced forecasting needs. In addition to time series
methods, Forecast Pro XE offers promotional modeling, causal modeling (dynamic regression), the ability to defi ne and reconcile hierarchies, and allows you to forecast up to 100 items at a time. To aid the experienced forecaster, it provides a full range of menu-driven custom modeling options along with detailed diagnostic displays.

Forecast Pro Unlimited is a comprehensive forecasting system
designed for larger-scale forecasting jobs, collaborative forecasting, working with complex hierarchies, maintaining multiple forecast overrides, documenting your forecasting sessions and integrating with other systems. Although it uses the same underlying forecasting methodologies found in Forecast Pro XE, it is a very different solution.
Forecast Pro Unlimited provides the foundation for creating a sustainable, well-documented forecasting process. If you:
• forecast a large number of items on a routine basis; and/or
• collaborate with others to create the fi nal forecast; and/or
• make multiple adjustments or overrides that need to be documented, then Forecast Pro Unlimited is the only edition of Forecast Pro that you should consider.

“ Forecast Pro Unlimited is so clear and easy to use that people can learn it in a few hours and get outstanding results with little effort.”
—MARIA ROYO, DESARROLLO TECHNOLOGICO COMERCIAL

The Right Tool for the Job: Forecast Pro’s Methodologies

With Forecast Pro, you can create accurate forecasts quickly and easily using proven statistical forecasting methods. Research has shown that no single method works best for all data, which is why Forecast Pro provides a complete range of forecasting approaches to address all types of business needs. Forecast Pro’s models accommodate seasonal demand, product hierarchies, product promotions, slow moving items, causal variables, outliers and much more.

Expert Selection – Expert Selection takes the guesswork out of forecasting. The built-in expert system analyzes your data, selects the appropriate forecasting technique, builds the model and calculates the forecasts—it even explains its reasoning in ordinary English!
BASIC XE UNLIMITED

Exponential Smoothing – Forecast Pro includes twelve Holt- Winters exponential smoothing models to accommodate data with different forms of trends and seasonal patterns. BASIC XE UNLIMITED

Box-Jenkins – For stable data sets, Forecast Pro supports a multiplicative seasonal Box-Jenkins model. The model can be built completely automatically or interactively with the assistance of a full range of screen-oriented diagnostics. BASIC XE UNLIMITED

Dynamic Regression – Dynamic regression is used when there are important leading indicators or other causal variables. You can include independent variables, lagged or transformed variables and build generalized Cochrane-Orcutt models. Using Forecast Pro’s self-interpreting diagnostics, you can build and compare alternative models with a few clicks of the mouse. XE

Event Models – This extension of exponential smoothing provides adjustments for special events like promotions, strikes, moveable holidays or other irregular occurrences. XE UNLIMITED

Multiple-Level Models – Multiple-level models allow you to aggregate data into groups and reconcile them using top-down or bottom-up approaches to produce consistent forecasts at all levels of aggregation. Seasonal and event indexes can be extracted from the higher-level aggregates and applied to lower-level data. BASIC XE UNLIMITED

Seasonal Simplification – This extension of exponential smoothing reduces the number of seasonal indexes used to model the data, often substantially improving forecast accuracy if you are forecasting data with more than 12 observations per year. BASIC XE UNLIMITED
Business Forecast Systems, Inc. • 68 Leonard Street, Belmont, MA 02478 USA Low Volume Models – Croston’s intermittent demand model and discrete data models are provided to accommodate low volume and “sparse” data (i.e., data where the demand is often zero). BASIC XE UNLIMITED

Curve Fitting – Curve fi tting provides a quick and easy way to identify the general form of the curve which your data are following. BASIC XE UNLIMITED

Simple Methods – For very short or extremely volatile data, all editions of Forecast Pro include moving average models. In
addition, several simple models including “same as last year,” percentage growth and fi xed values are available in Forecast
Pro Unlimited. BASIC XE UNLIMITED

Forecast Pro

• provides a wide range of proven methodologies
• includes both time series and causal models
• automatically selects the best methodology for your data (Expert Selection)
• accommodates product promotions, complex hierarchies,business calendars and “what if” analysis

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